
Farmland is an attractive long-term investment that offers
current income, capital appreciation, an inflation hedge and favorable
diversification that is negatively correlated with traditional asset
classes. In fact, since the end of WWII farmland in the United States has
experienced a steady rise in value for every year except four (1983,
’85-’87). Most investors have experienced wrenching declines in the value of
their portfolios lately, but those with an allocation to agriculture
benefited from less volatility and positive returns to offset losses from
the other asset classes.
Current Income
Row crop farmland has consistently produced cash income of between 4% and
8%. In addition to direct farm cash rents, ancillary sources of income
include hunting leases, billboard rents, timber sales, oil & gas royalties
and an emerging revenue source--windmill leases.
Capital Appreciation
A significant component of farmland total return is capital appreciation. As
demand for agricultural products increases and the supply of arable land
suited for agriculture declines, farmland increases in value. Purdue
University found that the value of average quality farmland in Indiana
increased on average by 7.4% over the past 20 years.
Inflation Hedge
Farmland has a positive correlation with inflation and is considered a
classic inflation hedge. In fact many investors view it as more favorable
than other hard assets such as gold because farmland produces positive cash
flow while shielding from the deleterious affects of inflation. The U.S. is
the world’s largest debtor and government has a natural tendency towards
creating inflation whether through deliberate conduct or the unintended
consequence of well-meaning policy.
Favorable Diversification
Farmland is negatively correlated with most traditional asset classes
including stocks and bonds and is only somewhat correlated with commercial
real estate. This provides portfolio stability during volatile markets while
enhancing a portfolio’s risk adjusted return.